How Trump fooled everyone with his Jerusalem declaration


The US president’s recognition of Israel’s capital can be seen as a test for the Palestinians: If they respond with violence, Trump can say the Israelis were right and there is apparently no partner; but if they exercise maturity and accept Trump’s peace plan, Netanyahu will have a problem.

Ynet

US President Donald Trump’s recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital is, without a doubt, a historic declaration. It’s no wonder that in a region which sanctifies symbols, Israel’s leaders went out of their way to embrace Trump and bombarded Twitter and Facebook with personal pathos-filled posts.

Culture Minister Miri Regev even went as far as saying that Trump’s name would forever be imprinted on the Western Wall stones, while Justice Minister Ayelet Shaked compared Trump to Cyrus the Great.

It’s hard to shake the feeling that Trump fooled everyone and that this is sort of fake news. His decision was first and foremost the result of internal political considerations and pressure from the Republican Party and Evangelical circles.

Trump wants to avoid being attacked again for signing the waiver to postpone the American embassy’s relocation every six months, which essentially vetoes the implementation of a law passed by Congress that recognized Israel as Jerusalem’s capital. After signing the waiver for the first time in June, Trump was concerned that his rivals in the Republican Party would keep attacking him every six months for violating his election promise to move the embassy to Jerusalem once again.

So he started thinking of creative solution: How to sign the waiver on the one hand, yet receive the Israeli government’s applause and keep the peace process going on the other hand. The crafty solution was a simple one: Recognizing Jerusalem without moving the embassy.

A senior White House official said in a press briefing, a day before Trump’s announcement, that it would take three to four years to build the new American embassy in Jerusalem. In other words, Trump would have to sign the waiver eight more times, but won’t be condemned again thanks to his declaration. He has simply bought time for himself.

Moreover, it’s quite possible that once that period is over, Trump will not longer be in the White House and his promise to move the embassy to Jerusalem won’t be implemented. Just like Trump reversed former President Barack Obama’s legacy, the next president would be able to renounce Trump’s legacy.

Why is it fake news? Because had Trump really wanted to move the American embassy, he could have announced its relocation to a temporary residence in the capital the very next day and moved Ambassador David Friedman’s office to the US consul-general’s office in the impressive Agron Street building in west Jerusalem. Nothing prevented the president from making such a move, which would have demonstrated the seriousness of his intentions more than a thousand words.

Moreover, no one in the Israeli Foreign Ministry even knows where the Americans are planning to build their future embassy. The Americans have several options, and they could have—as a declaration of intent—placed a large sign stating: This is where the US embassy will be established. But that didn’t happen either, and Trump settled for the amorphic statement that he had directed the State Department to appoint a team to immediately start the process of hiring architects and planners to build the embassy.

By the way, the Republican Party’s transition team already examined different sites in Jerusalem and could have presented a proper plan for the embassy’s location. Had Trump wanted to, he could have even shown plans.

In his statement, Trump provided the Palestinians with considerable compensation by mentioning the two-state solution, which he has so far avoided doing. We all remember his first joint press conference with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, in which he said he was open to two states or one state for two people, whatever “both parties like.” This time, Trump said for the first time that the US would support the two-state solution, but only “if agreed to by both sides.”

The Palestinians received further compensation in Trump’s statement that his declaration does not refer to the permanent agreement and to the borders of Jerusalem’s sovereignty in the permanent agreement. Those questions are up to the parties involved, the president said.

On the other hand, Trump dealt the Palestinians another blow by completely ignoring and failing to mention their aspiration to turn east Jerusalem into the capital of the future Palestinian state. Trump also avoided saying that Jerusalem would remain Israel’s united capital, leaving a certain window for its future division.

The question is what good would Trump’s declaration do if it sets the region on fire and makes the Palestinians reject the American peace initiative and stop seeing the US as a decent mediator. It’s possible Trump reached the conclusion that Abbas is a rejectionst and that there is no choice but to show him that if his rejectionism continues, he will keep paying prices, like the declaration recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital.

A second option is that Trump has a surprise in store: He is offering Israel a major gesture in preparation for the ultimate deal he is planning, which would require painful concessions from Israel. After his announcement and Miri Regev’s promise that Trump’s name would be imprinted on the Western Wall stones, no one in the Israeli Right would dare declare Trump an anti-Israel president if he were to submit a peace plan in the near future that would force Israel to make many concessions.

Netanyahu was likely the first person to identify the brilliance in Trump’s move, when he told government sources that once Trump presents his peace deal he would not be able to turn it down. Netanyahu and his coalition partners are therefore warmly embracing Trump’s declaration—even though some of them are admitting in closed forums that it’s a bluff—because they are thinking or hoping that the Palestinians would see the declaration as an excuse to stop playing by the rules, and then Israel wouldn’t be accused of rejectionism.

President Trump prepared for this possibility as well, calling on the parties “to respond to disagreement with reasoned debate—not violence.” In other words, Trump’s declaration is also a sort of test for the Palestinians. If they respond with violence, as expected, Trump may say to himself that the Israelis were right and that there is apparently no one to talk to. If they swallow the humiliation, exercise maturity and accept Trump’s peace plan, Netanyahu would have a problem.

  1. #1 by James Benn on 12/07/2017 - 9:34

    ‘It’s hard to shake the feeling that Trump fooled everyone and that this is sort of fake news. His decision was first and foremost the result of internal political considerations and pressure from the Republican Party and Evangelical circles.’

    So says esteemed Hebraic correspondent for Ynet noos … Itamar Eichner. Methinks the lady doth protest too much. It’s hard to shake the feeling that Republican Party and Evangelical circles have been had. And had bigtime. Not that the Republicans really care these days. They are all totally compromised. And not that Evangelicalists really care neither. They are, for the most part, Old Testament ‘Christians’. They’re into the bad news, not the good news. And they are generational Zionists for the most part.

    Nah, it’s just another step in the ‘historic process’ of reclaiming ‘Israel’ for the ‘Tribe of Judah’. And to add insult to injury, re-branding Jerusalem, the birthplace of Christ, and coincidentally historic Muslim holy site … a Jews-only city. Moving the embassy is just a technicality. It’ll come. It’ll come.

    Nah, the fix is already in … Rome has ‘recognized’ Jerusalem as the epicenter of Jewish life … in the world. The Christians will be gradually, or perhaps rapidly, expunged from the city. As will the Muslims. Then the project for ‘Eretz Israhell’ will continue its inexorable expansion … paid for by your and my tax dollaroonies. Remember, the IRS works for the central banks. Not the government.

    ‘The US president’s recognition of Israel’s capital can be seen as a test for the Palestinians: If they respond with violence, Trump can say the Israelis were right and there is apparently no partner; but if they exercise maturity and accept Trump’s peace plan, Netanyahu will have a problem.’ … What problem? … What bullshit.

    Ah you loved me as a loser, but now you’re worried that I just might win
    You know the way to stop me, but you don’t have the discipline
    How many nights I prayed for this, to let my work begin
    First we take Manhattan, then we take Berlin
    – Leonard Cohen

  2. #2 by James Benn on 12/07/2017 - 9:34

    Wince … I just remembered … Jerusalem is NOT the historic birthplace of Christ … Bethlehem is. No matter. The argument remains … This article by Itamar Eichner is, IMHO, just more Jewish dissembling. As I say … the fix is in.

  3. #3 by Ladybat2 on 12/07/2017 - 9:34

    (sigh) The person who wrote this article is just another human being suffering from the delusion that the orange ape in the white house is really a good and smart man hiding inside an orange ape suit and one day he’ll rip right out of it and save the world.
    He is a orange ape. For real. A big, stupid, spoiled, ego maniac, ape. That is who our people elected to lead our nation. The American people and the rest of human kind just have to live with it now.

  4. #4 by PJ London on 12/07/2017 - 9:34

    Great minds think alike.

    “Discussion on The Real News Network 50 comments
    Trump’s ‘Criminal’ Jerusalem Move Could Backfire
    PJ London 10 hours ago”

    Trump is not in the least bit interested in Israel, Palestine or in fact anything outside of the US.
    Every one of his ‘Foreign Policy’ actions are idiotic unless you look at his poll figures in USA.
    The US wants an enemy, 15 years ago it was decided that ‘Muslims’ fitted the bill and every Muslim in the world suddenly wanted to destroy the US, according to American opinion makers.
    They are trying to replace them with ‘Russians’ but it does not work as Americans realise that Russians are in fact very like themselves.
    What he has done is throw Congress under the bus.
    You people voted for these idiots, they voted for Jerusalem, so let them handle it.
    He has blindsided both Congress and Netanyahoo, ‘OK you got your wish, now what?’
    Maybe it is a quid pro quo for the tax deal, but I think he is just rubbing their noses in their stupid decisions.
    I think that he is going to more and more do what Congress says, but do it literally.
    They would not support him in any way, so let the voters see just how bad these fools are.
    In 6 months, America will not have any ‘allies’, just by Trump doing what congress and the voters want.
    He got elected by saying what the voters wanted to hear.
    Congress and the courts have stymied any action, so let the people see the outcome, his hands are clean.

    “Under the relentless thrust of accelerating over-population and increasing over-organisation, and by means of ever more effective methods of mind-manipulation, the democracies will change their nature; the quaint old forms—elections, parliaments, Supreme Courts and all the rest—will remain. The underlying substance will be a new kind of non-violent totalitarianism. All the traditional names, all the hallowed slogans will remain exactly what they were in the good old days. Democracy and freedom will be the theme of every broadcast and editorial—but Democracy and freedom in a strictly Pickwickian sense.
    Meanwhile the ruling oligarchy and its highly trained elite of soldiers, policemen, thought-manufacturers and mind-manipulators will quietly run the show as they see fit.”
    – Aldous Huxley, Brave New World Revisited

    He is a genius who is brilliantly exposing the oligarchy.

    Either that or he is a stupid twat.

  5. #5 by Sami Joseph on 12/08/2017 - 9:34

    Trust Ynet to produce such tripe!

  6. #6 by Derek on 12/08/2017 - 9:34

    They have responded with violence (unfortunately) egged on by Hammas and backed by Nasrallah of all people.
    The tiny flaw in Trumps plan, so thats Netanyahu off the hook.

  7. #7 by Conrad on 12/09/2017 - 9:34

    What a cruel joke! Poor people have been battered and writhing under the heavy heel of military occupation and suddenly a declaration of loss by a lunatic is supposed to be viewed as a smart move and the ball is in their court!

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